Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 25 agosto 2016

Turkey supports the rebel forces to Assad

The Syrian war is enriched with new variables: falls, in fact, in this series, the action that Turkey has conducted on the territory of Syria, with its own air force and army, alongside the rebels against Assad, who are part secular and allied engagements, the Americans, against the positions of the Islamic State. The main interest of Ankara remains to damage the Kurds, to avoid a dismemberment of Syria, capable of allowing a Kurdish union able to establish a state on the border with Turkey. To support this real goal, Turkey claims to want to prevent the territorial dismemberment of the Syrian nation, but, at this juncture, supports the enemies of Assad, which further complicate the general framework of alliances. That Damascus did not like the Turkish action, proves the protest of the Assad government, which defined the entrance not agreed on its territory as a violation of the sovereignty of the country. The Kurds themselves have defined as a violation of Syrian affairs Turkish maneuver, expressing a substantially same findings of Damascus. Erdogan now shows all his skills as a political balancing act, that put it in competition with Putin and Assad himself. It does not seem accidental that the action of Ankara in Syria occurred almost concurrently with the visit of US Vice President Erdogan. The purpose of the American mission was to reconnect Turkey as an ally, considered essential in the framework of the Atlantic Alliance, and try to eliminate the danger of an increasingly close relationship with Russia. If the United States were convinced of the necessity of the presence of Turkey, including its allies, despite the problems related to an increasingly less democratic vision of the Ankara government, because once again they put before their needs to the general principles of democracy, of which you claim to be universal carriers. In any case, if Assad Turkey, had suggested its support for its presence in the negotiations which, at the end of the conflict, will define the future structure of Syria, will not it do the same to the democratic forces backed by Washington, who has now joined the field. This prospect is likely to complicate the future of the Syrian country, putting two-part comparison, which have been said, until now irreconcilable. If this happens in Washington, will, at the very least, the bill drew with Moscow on the game, the whole de define, for the future of Syria. It will, however, be interesting to see what will be the immediate reaction of Moscow to the one that might be at regarded as an American interference, within a framework that Putin believed to have led to his favor. The Turkish action, however, puts everything into question and could lead to the rapprochement of the Kurds with Assad, just in an anti Ankara. Must be specified for closer to Erdogan, the United States pledged not to support the creation of a Kurdish state on Turkey's border, at this time the main focus of the Ankara government, sacrificing the demands of the Kurds in Syria. The US is conducting a dangerous political game to the importance of the role played on the ground in contrast to the forces of the Islamic State, Washington can do this because in them the Kurds are not united and why probably, will support a form of fairly extensive autonomy for the Kurdish regions, even within a united Syria yet. But there is the possibility that Moscow could act together with Assad, right on the Kurdish leverage to decrease the impact of the role that Ankara wanted to hire. The counter will be what the Kremlin considers the most important of the geopolitics of the Middle East and economic relations that is weaving with Ankara, which, however, has proven to be a totally reliable partner for Russia, in a scenario where there are no certainties about the mutual relations.

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