Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
Cerca nel blog
martedì 17 gennaio 2017
China is a guide of globalization
China's
participation in the World Economic Forum in Davos, reports the Beijing
government's willingness to act as a nation protagonist of
globalization, in stark contrast to the protectionist trend, which
should characterize the new course of the United States. It
seems to be faced with a contradiction in terms: a country that calls
itself communist become the main promoter of production and barrier-free
market, and what is the champion of free trade, which will be governed
by an executive with a clear right-wing connotation , it seems to deny free trade to promote, at least on its territory, the American nationality industries. In
fact this contradiction is only superficial: China has become a
paradise for entrepreneurs, both Chinese and foreign, ensuring working
conditions with no guarantees for workers with highly flexible laws in
favor of industries and entrepreneurs, attracted also by a cost the extremely low labor; the
absence of democratic norms to regulate the civic life and the presence
of a strong, authoritarian government, have ensured a stable situation,
and for sure, so good for investors and producers. Trump
has got a lot of votes, probably decisive for their electoral victory,
just from working-class base of the United States, a part of American
society that has lost purchasing power and job due to relocation of
industries, one of the features that made the winning China, in the sense of ability to attract foreign companies on its territory. Despite
the good of the US domestic recovery, obtained thanks to the
expansionary measures Obama, Trump was able to catalyze the votes of the
white working class with the promise to bring the most traditional
American industries, such as automobile, within the boundaries of the
state and to implement a strict protection of US goods by recovery of customs duties. What
will be verified is whether the maneuver Trump to expand the number of
employed people will not ask to be balanced with compression of rights
or wages of American workers. Trump
seems to have a vision of politics based essentially on the economy as
the main aspect, to which even sacrifice the diplomatic line that the US
has historically had to date. such
a vision implies that the main adversary is no longer Russia, which can
not compete with the US economy, but it will become China, which
undermines long American supremacy. The
two concepts are diametrically opposed: China to prosper in this
historical phase, it needs more thrust of globalization, while Trump
identifies protectionism as US economic growth factor. Beijing
can take advantage of this trend to the closure of Trump, who seems to
have the intention to diminish the geopolitical and geostrategic action
abroad in the US, trying to establish itself as a great power. Large
investments in the military sector, the shows of force in the South
China Sea, large investments in Africa, were signs of a willingness to
become an international player, however, it mitigated by the
characteristics of the Chinese foreign policy never to meddle in the
internal affairs other nations, a factor that prevented an active role in many international crises; but
this has not yet mutated in Beijing behavior, rather the Chinese
government prefers to adopt softer methods, like to participate in the
forum in Davos. If America withdraws within its borders, more and win more Europe becomes crucial because it remains the richest market. Because
this conquest is actual need for China to find a greater similarity
with the large financial institutions and major European industry,
seeking common ground of understanding, both on the rules, and on the
willingness to invest. For
China it is required to grow their domestic market and try to solve the
great debt of local authorities, which rests, ultimately, on the
central government. But
these issues seem minor compared to the potential conflict that the
Trump USA have repeatedly threatened to blow against an economy that
deem conducted with media, at least, unfair, such as the excessive
devaluation of the Chinese currency. The
comparison between the two economies seems to be destined to rise in
rank to go on a political level, with all consequences to predict.
Iscriviti a:
Commenti sul post (Atom)
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento